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Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Arista delivered a clean beat-and-raise quarter: revenue $2.205B (+10.0% q/q, +30.4% y/y), non-GAAP EPS $0.73, and non-GAAP gross margin 65.6%, all above internal guidance and Wall Street consensus; Q3 guide: revenue ~$2.25B, non-GAAP GM ~64%, OM ~47% .
  • Management raised FY25 revenue growth to ~25% (targeting ~$8.75B) from 17% ($8.2B), citing accelerating demand across AI, cloud, and enterprise, and a record non-GAAP operating income crossing $1B for the first time .
  • Strategic momentum: announced acquisition of the VeloCloud SD-WAN portfolio to strengthen branch/enterprise WAN and embrace MSP channels; front-end and back-end AI networking progress with EtherLink and 7800/7700 spine platforms highlighted on the call .
  • Near-term catalysts: increased FY guide, strong AI narrative (back-end networking target ~$750M, aggregate AI networking >$1.5B in 2025), and Q3 guide above prior levels; watch deferred revenue volatility and customer concentration as swing factors .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue/EPS/margins beat: $2.205B revenue vs Q2 guide $2.1B and consensus; non-GAAP GM 65.6% (guide 63%), OM 48.8% (guide 46%); CFO: “Operating income crossed $1B for the first time” .
  • AI networking traction: CEO reaffirmed back-end AI networking revenue objective of ~$750M in 2025 and aggregate AI networking ahead of ~$1.5B; progress with four top AI “Titans” and 25–30 enterprise/neo cloud customers .
  • Strategic expansion in enterprise WAN: Acquisition of VeloCloud SD-WAN; COO: leveraging MSP motion to cross-sell Arista across portfolio; plan to partner for full SASE overlay .

What Went Wrong

  • Deferred revenue volatility and acceptance clauses: Product deferred revenue increased ~$687M q/q; management cautioned about significant quarterly moves independent of underlying drivers .
  • Customer concentration risk persists: At least two largest customers contributing ≥10% each; balance improving but Titans still meaningful to annual results .
  • Sovereign AI uncertainty: One sovereign AI customer fell out; while opportunity remains, management is “cautiously optimistic” and not factoring sovereign AI into 2025 numbers .

Financial Results

Core Financials vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ2 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q2 2025 Consensus*Q2 2025 Actual vs Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.690 $1.930 $2.005 $2.205 $2.110*Beat by ~$0.095B*
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.53 $0.65 $0.65 $0.73 $0.650*Beat by ~$0.08*
GAAP Gross Margin (%)64.9% 63.8% 63.7% 65.2% N/AN/A
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)65.4% 64.2% 64.1% 65.6% N/AN/A
GAAP Operating Margin (%)41.4% 41.4% 42.8% 44.7% N/AN/A
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)46.5% 47.0% 47.8% 48.8% N/AN/A
GAAP Net Income ($USD Billions)$0.665 $0.801 $0.814 $0.889 N/AN/A

* Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Revenue Breakdown

Revenue ($USD Billions)Q2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Product$1.423 $1.693 $1.877
Service$0.267 $0.312 $0.328
Total$1.690 $2.005 $2.205

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
Cash from Operations ($USD Billions)$0.642 ~$1.2 (quarter) ; $1.842 (six months)
Deferred Revenue ($USD Billions, total)$3.089 (Q4 to Q1 delta via table; total at 3/31/25 $3.089B) $4.061
Product Deferred Revenue q/q change ($USD Billions)N/A+$0.687
DSOs (days)64 67
Inventory ($USD Billions)$1.957 $2.059
Inventory Turns (x)~1.4x 1.4x
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Billions)$1.845 $2.226 (cash, cash equivalents & restricted cash)
Marketable Securities ($USD Billions)$6.305 $6.619

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance / ActualChange
Revenue ($USD Billions)Q2 2025~$2.10 $2.205 actual Beat
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)Q2 2025~63% 65.6% actual Beat
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)Q2 2025~46% 48.8% actual Beat
Revenue ($USD Billions)Q3 2025N/A~$2.25 New
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)Q3 2025N/A~64% New
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)Q3 2025N/A~47% New
Effective Tax Rate (%)Q3 2025N/A~21.5% New
Diluted Shares (Billions)Q3 2025N/A~1.275 New
FY Revenue Growth (%) / Level ($USD Billions)FY 2025~17% / ~$8.2 ~25% / ~$8.75 Raised
Campus Revenue Target ($USD Billions)FY 2025N/A$0.75–$0.80 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI networking (EtherLink, back-end/front-end)EtherLink AI platforms; collaboration with NVIDIA; CloudVision UNO launched Back-end target ~$750M; aggregate AI networking >$1.5B; 4 AI Titans plus 25–30 enterprise/neo cloud customers; front-end pressures from AI traffic Strengthening
Supply chain & tariffsTariffs noted as risk; strong cash generation GM uplift driven by inventory management; tariffs “non-material” in quarter; purchase commitments $5.7B Improving execution; monitoring tariffs
Product performance (spine, 400/800G)7700R4 DES with Meta; 400G deployments 7800 spine as flagship; anticipating Jericho IV for 800G Advancing roadmap
Regional mixNot highlightedInternational 21.8% (EMEA strength); Americas 78.2% Broadening
Enterprise/Campus & BranchModern stacking, Zero Trust segmentation; Wi‑Fi 7 AP launch VeloCloud SD‑WAN acquisition; MSP channel embrace; campus revenue target $0.75–$0.80B Accelerating
Regulatory/legal & sovereign AIRisks outlined; stock split complete One sovereign AI fell out; cautiously optimistic for 2026 Mixed; watch 2026

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We therefore raised our 2025 annual growth to 25%, now targeting 8,750,000,000.00 in revenue… This feels to us like a unique once in a lifetime opportunity” .
  • CFO: “Operating income for the quarter was $1,080,000,000 crossing $1,000,000,000 for the first time… non-GAAP gross margin of 65.6%… improvement driven by inventory management” .
  • COO: “Velo… has a really strong MSP motion… bring all of Arista’s portfolio through that same channel… and embrace that MSP motion” .
  • CEO on competition: “No change in our environment… our innovation and differentiation has never been stronger… we hope we prove the naysayers wrong” .
  • CEO on scale-out leadership: “The 7800 spine… flagship… buffering, congestion control… nobody else in the industry… looking forward to 800G” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Competitive landscape vs NVIDIA/white box: Arista emphasizes platform performance, features, and customer intimacy; co-existence with white box where value/features not required; margins reflect efficiency, not pricing alone .
  • Front-end vs back-end AI: Upside driven by both; AI traffic patterns pressuring front-end refresh (100→400→800G), not just GPU attachment .
  • Deferred revenue/billings: Growth reflects new products/use cases (AI), with volatility from acceptance clauses; not guided but expected to remain variable .
  • VeloCloud & SASE: SD‑WAN fills branch portfolio gap; MSP channel expansion; SASE to be delivered via best-of-breed partners, not full in-house stack .
  • AI customer mix: Two Titans ≥100k GPUs; broader base of enterprise/neo cloud adds up despite one sovereign AI falling out; cautious on sovereign AI near term .

Estimates Context

  • Arista beat S&P Global consensus in Q2 2025: revenue $2.205B vs $2.111B*, EPS $0.73 vs $0.650*, EBITDA ~$0.999B vs ~$0.988B*; magnitude of beat driven by stronger AI, cloud, enterprise demand and inventory management boosting margins .
  • Q3 2025 consensus baseline: EPS ~0.714*, revenue ~$2.267B* vs company guide ~$2.25B; watch for estimate revisions reflecting guide, margin trajectory, and enterprise WAN expansion .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Q2 2025 Actual vs Consensus

MetricQ2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus*Surprise*
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.205 $2.111*+$0.095*
Primary EPS (Non-GAAP, $)$0.73 $0.650*+$0.08*
EBITDA ($USD Billions)~$0.999 ~$0.988*+$0.011*

* Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Beat-and-raise quarter with robust margin expansion; non-GAAP OM at 48.8% and GM 65.6% signal strong pricing/value and operating discipline .
  • FY25 guide raised to 25% ($8.75B); near-term trading catalyst as estimates likely move higher on AI, cloud, and enterprise campus momentum .
  • AI networking narrative strengthening: back-end revenue target ~$750M and aggregate AI networking >$1.5B in 2025; front-end refresh cycle accelerating to 400/800G .
  • Enterprise WAN/branch now a growth vector via VeloCloud and MSP channel; expect improved cross-sell and broader enterprise penetration .
  • Monitor deferred revenue volatility and acceptance clauses; sizable product deferred revenue can swing reported revenue timing quarter-to-quarter .
  • Customer concentration remains a watch item; diversification progressing but top customers still ≥10% contributors .
  • Execution watchlist: inventory management (positive GM driver), tariff scenarios, DSO/inventory levels, and pace of 800G product cycles with Jericho IV .

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